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Combining poll data with prediction-market odds in OpinionPulse

Polls and prediction markets each tell part of the story, and checking both by hand is slow. OpinionPulse joins them, adds an X volume label, and alerts you when opinion on a topic you follow shifts.

AgentStructure.AI5 min de lectura

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Polls and prediction markets rarely move at the same moment, and OpinionPulse puts both in one alert with the sources attached.
Example alert. Names and numbers are illustrative.

Este artículo solo está disponible en inglés.

Key takeaways

The short version.

  • OpinionPulse joins public poll headlines with overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices and an X volume label.
  • You can ask about any topic anytime on the free plan, through the API or MCP.
  • Premium, free during the beta, sends alerts when opinion on a topic you follow shifts.
  • Every alert carries its sources, so you can check the poll and the market prices yourself.
  • It reports data only: no advice, no trades, no vote calls.

Who it is for

Why is it so hard to tell whether opinion is really shifting?

  • A new poll lands and the headline sounds dramatic.

  • The trouble is that each source moves at its own speed.

  • OpinionPulse is for people who follow a topic and want the combined picture without the tab juggling: researchers, journalists, campaign…

A new poll lands and the headline sounds dramatic. Is it a real change, or one noisy survey? To find out, you open a second tab for Polymarket, a third for Kalshi, and then scroll X to see whether anyone is talking about it. By the time you have lined everything up, the moment may have passed.

The trouble is that each source moves at its own speed. A poll can come out before the markets react. Markets can move before the next poll. Social chatter can spike without any change in opinion at all. Looking at one source alone makes it easy to read too much into it.

OpinionPulse is for people who follow a topic and want the combined picture without the tab juggling: researchers, journalists, campaign watchers, analysts, or anyone who simply likes to know when the ground is moving. You name a topic, and it joins the latest public poll headlines with overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices and an X volume label, then tells you whether opinion is shifting. Every source is attached.

Use cases

4 ways people use Combining poll data with prediction-market odds.

  1. Poll first

    1. A new poll lands before the markets react

    Situation: you follow a topic, and a new public poll is published. The prediction markets on it have not moved yet, so anyone checking only the markets would see nothing new.

    What the alert tells you: OpinionPulse flags the shift, shows the poll, lists the overlapping market prices, and attaches the sources. What you do next: open the poll, read how it was run, and decide whether to dig further or wait for the markets to respond.

  2. Cross-check

    2. Checking a hunch against both sources

    Situation: you suspect opinion is turning on a topic, but you have only seen one headline. Instead of searching three sites, you ask your AI assistant or the API about the topic at any time on the free plan.

    What the answer tells you: whether recent poll headlines and the Polymarket and Kalshi prices point the same way, with what each source shows. What you do next: if they agree, you have stronger grounds for your note. If they disagree, you know to treat the claim carefully.

  3. Volume check

    3. Telling real movement from social noise

    Situation: a topic is suddenly all over X, and a colleague says opinion has swung. Chatter alone proves little.

    What the alert tells you: the X volume label sits next to the poll headlines and market prices, so you can see whether loud conversation comes with any movement in the other sources. What you do next: if only the volume is up, you can tell your colleague the data does not yet show a shift, and keep watching.

  4. Standing watch

    4. Keeping a standing watch on topics you follow

    Situation: you cover several topics and cannot refresh them all day. With Premium, free during the beta, you pick what to watch once.

    What the alert tells you: when opinion on one of those topics shifts, you get a message with the poll, market prices, and sources. What you do next: open only the topic that moved and spend your time there.

On your phone

What the alerts look like.

Poll ahead of markets

Figure 1

A new poll arrives before the markets catch up.
Both point one way

Figure 2

A quick question, answered from several sources.
Loud but flat

Figure 3

High X volume without matching movement.

Example alerts. Every name, number and event shown is illustrative.

How to

How do I set up OpinionPulse?

  1. Step 1

    Open [opinionpulse.app](https://opinionpulse.app) and sign in.

  2. Step 2

    Pick the topics you want to watch.

  3. Step 3

    Open the app's connect page and copy your API key and MCP address.

  4. Step 4

    Connect your AI assistant with them. A personal AI is the natural fit, and you can also receive alerts by text or email.

Asking about any topic is on the free plan. Alerts for shifts are Premium, which is free during the beta.

Open Combining poll data with prediction-market oddsConnect your AI

FAQ

Frequently asked questions.

What does OpinionPulse combine?

The latest public poll headlines, overlapping Polymarket and Kalshi prices, and an X volume label, with every source attached.

How do I receive alerts?

By text, by email, or through your favorite AI. A personal AI is the natural fit.

Can I ask about a topic without alerts?

Yes. On the free plan you can ask about any topic anytime through the API or MCP.

Does it tell me how to vote or what to trade?

No. OpinionPulse reports data. It gives no advice, makes no trades, and makes no vote calls.

Do the alerts in this article show real events?

No. The examples are illustrative and not real news.

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