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PoliticalPredictions.APP + Microsoft Copilot: share a political post and its matched markets with your team in Teams

Policy and trading-desk teams in Microsoft 365 can pair PoliticalPredictions.APP, which matches public political posts to Polymarket and Kalshi markets, with Microsoft Copilot, which can draft the Teams message. Here is what works today and what an admin would need to set up.

AgentStructure.AI5 min read

Works with

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  • Instinct
  • Grok
  • Claude
  • ChatGPT
  • Any MCP-capable assistant
When a political post matches markets you follow, Microsoft Copilot can help your team draft the Teams message, with the post and the contracts linked.
Example alert. Names and numbers are illustrative.

Key takeaways

The short version.

  • PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public political posts on X and matches them to public Polymarket and Kalshi markets, with the post, the contract, its last price and an as-of time.
  • Microsoft 365 Copilot can help turn a matched post into a short note for colleagues in Teams, which a person reads and sends.
  • Microsoft documents company-run routes for an MCP server: a custom connector created by an admin, or a tool in a Copilot Studio agent. Whether the app's address fits your tenant is not confirmed.
  • The free consumer app at copilot.microsoft.com has no documented way to add your own MCP server. Pasting an alert into Copilot works today.
  • Both tools only report and draft. Neither gives investment advice, places a bet or makes a trade.

Who it is for

Who is this pairing for?

  • It is for policy and trading-desk teams whose day runs through Teams and who need to tell colleagues quickly when a public political post…

  • PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public posts, mainly from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse plus a short list of mapped political accounts,…

  • The app finds the match.

It is for policy and trading-desk teams whose day runs through Teams and who need to tell colleagues quickly when a public political post touches a prediction market they follow: policy analysts, government affairs staff, research desks and risk teams.

PoliticalPredictions.APP reads public posts, mainly from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse plus a short list of mapped political accounts, and attaches the public Polymarket and Kalshi markets that are actually about the same topic. Microsoft Copilot is Microsoft's AI assistant, and in Microsoft 365 it works in apps such as Teams.

The app finds the match. Copilot helps your team say it in a clear, short message. Neither takes a side on the politics.

Use cases

4 ways people use PoliticalPredictions.APP + Microsoft Copilot.

  1. Teams message

    1. A matched post becomes a short Teams message

    Paste the alert into a Teams chat or channel and ask Copilot for a three-sentence message: what the post said, which markets matched and their last prices with the as-of time. Ask it to use only what the alert says.

    You read the draft, fix it and post it. Because the alert links to the post and the contracts, the message can carry those links so colleagues can open the sources.

  2. Daily digest

    2. A desk digest of the day's matches

    If several posts matched markets today, paste the alerts together and ask Copilot to list them: one line per post with the topic, the matched contracts and the as-of times.

    Ask it to keep the lines neutral and to keep each as-of time, since a price is only true for that moment.

  3. Team questions

    3. Questions for the team

    A match only says a market is about the same topic as a post. Ask Copilot to draft two or three questions for the team, for example whether the contract depends on this topic or on a separate event.

    Copilot drafts the questions. Your people answer them, and any reading of why a market might or might not react stays a discussion point, not a forecast.

  4. No match

    4. Say plainly when there is no match

    Matching is conservative. A named topic has to appear in both the post and the contract, so a loosely related post can return no match. The app says so instead of stretching.

    Ask Copilot to word a no-match note carefully: no public market on that topic was found, which is different from the post not mattering.

On your phone

What the alerts look like.

Illustrative

Figure 1

An example exchange. The post, markets and prices are made up.

Example alerts. Every name, number and event shown is illustrative.

How to

How do I use PoliticalPredictions.APP with Microsoft Copilot?

  1. Step 1

    Start with what works today. Copy the alert from [PoliticalPredictions.APP](https://politicalpredictions.app), with its links, into Copilot in Teams and ask for a draft message.

  2. Step 2

    To try a live connection, the remote MCP address is https://politicalpredictions.app/mcp. The app's site says no API key and no OAuth are needed.

  3. Step 3

    In Microsoft 365, a Global or AI Administrator creates a custom MCP connector under Copilot, Connectors in the admin center, per Microsoft's [guide](https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/copilot/connectors/set-up-custom-federated-connectors). Users need a Copilot license.

  4. Step 4

    Or add the address as a tool in a Copilot Studio agent, per Microsoft's [guide](https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-copilot-studio/mcp-add-existing-server-to-agent): it offers None, API key or OAuth 2.0. Test with a small group first.

There is no official partnership, listing or built-in integration between PoliticalPredictions.APP and Microsoft. Microsoft's connector guide lists Microsoft Entra SSO, OAuth 2.0 or no authentication, and whether this address works in your tenant is untested. The free consumer app at copilot.microsoft.com has no documented way to add your own MCP server.

Open PoliticalPredictions.APP + Microsoft CopilotConnect your AI

FAQ

Frequently asked questions.

Is PoliticalPredictions.APP an official Microsoft Copilot integration?

No. There is no partnership, listing or built-in integration. Any live connection is one your own admin or agent builder sets up. Otherwise you can paste alerts into Copilot.

Can I add PoliticalPredictions.APP to Copilot myself?

Not in the free app at copilot.microsoft.com, which has no documented way to add your own MCP server. At work, Microsoft says a Global or AI Administrator creates custom connectors in the Microsoft 365 admin center, and Copilot Studio lets an agent builder add an MCP server as a tool.

What if my company will not add a connector?

Paste the alert into Copilot in Teams and ask for a draft. The alert links to the post and the contracts, so the draft can too.

Is this investment advice?

No. The app is informational only. It never places bets or trades, never touches a wallet and does not say what to buy. Copilot drafts the wording, and a person reviews and sends it.

Can we trust Copilot's draft?

Check it against the linked post and contracts before you send it. Ask Copilot to use only what the alert says, and remove anything it adds.

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